Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.218478 0.248364 0.280386 0.317198 0.358292 0.402699 0.454262
2025-10-26 0.179080 0.219219 0.265065 0.321115 0.387583 0.463676 0.557157
2025-11-02 0.153390 0.200168 0.256606 0.329293 0.419957 0.528809 0.668832
2025-11-09 0.129500 0.179137 0.242072 0.326996 0.437768 0.576425 0.762057
2025-11-16 0.111285 0.162375 0.230138 0.325499 0.454941 0.623043 0.856103
2025-11-23 0.096692 0.148242 0.219518 0.323747 0.470428 0.667323 0.948945
2025-11-30 0.087424 0.140195 0.215952 0.330609 0.497223 0.727494 1.065972
2025-12-07 0.077834 0.130349 0.208504 0.330729 0.513809 0.773858 1.165977
2025-12-14 0.069713 0.121669 0.201676 0.330707 0.529530 0.819205 1.266385
2025-12-21 0.062953 0.114279 0.195916 0.331451 0.545901 0.865813 1.370538
2025-12-28 0.057946 0.109146 0.193083 0.336238 0.568347 0.922188 1.491647
2026-01-04 0.054200 0.105699 0.192550 0.344433 0.596328 0.988074 1.630129
2026-01-11 0.049645 0.100483 0.188845 0.347526 0.617042 1.045053 1.760016
2026-01-18 0.046208 0.096903 0.187579 0.354547 0.644554 1.114196 1.912707
2026-01-25 0.043627 0.094626 0.188348 0.365043 0.678434 1.195264 2.088550
2026-02-01 0.039603 0.089049 0.182581 0.363373 0.691178 1.242198 2.211053
2026-02-08 0.036087 0.084057 0.177382 0.362190 0.704471 1.290453 2.337804
2026-02-15 0.032892 0.079330 0.172203 0.360515 0.716564 1.337015 2.463640
2026-02-22 0.031049 0.077267 0.172014 0.368212 0.746024 1.414781 2.646123
2026-03-01 0.028601 0.073564 0.168166 0.368421 0.761465 1.468558 2.789327
2026-03-08 0.026370 0.070075 0.164409 0.368439 0.776393 1.521942 2.934022
2026-03-15 0.024421 0.066999 0.161214 0.369282 0.792820 1.578639 3.086926
2026-03-22 0.023010 0.065043 0.160234 0.374569 0.818144 1.652677 3.274165